Turning point · Current state: Bounded delegation

How much real authority do we hand AI?

This is not a measure of how many people use AI. It tracks whether AI is moving from advice and drafting into consequential action with less transaction-by-transaction human approval.

Why this matters

Delegation is the bridge between capability and real-world consequences. A highly capable model has a different social impact if a person must approve every important action than if it can spend, deploy, negotiate, modify systems, or operate for long periods on its own.

What the states mean

Lower endHumans keep the wheel

AI mostly proposes, drafts, or recommends; humans execute consequential actions.

MiddleBounded delegation

AI executes bounded workflows inside meaningful permission and approval constraints.

Higher endDeep delegation

AI routinely carries out consequential, multi-step work with limited contemporaneous human approval.

What we look for

Share of production workflows using agentsTracked as evidence about this turning point.
Permission scope and external-system accessTracked as evidence about this turning point.
Autonomous spend or resource allocationTracked as evidence about this turning point.
Length and complexity of tasks completed without approvalTracked as evidence about this turning point.
Human approval requirements and override ratesTracked as evidence about this turning point.
Reversibility of autonomous actionsTracked as evidence about this turning point.

Indicators underneath this question

  • Representative firm adoption
  • Large-enterprise adoption / scaling
  • Breadth across functions and tasks
  • Agent scaling
  • Autonomous permissions / external actions
  • Human approval retained in consequential work

Futures this can move

  • Slow Burn / AI Winter
  • Augmented Society
  • Turbulent Transition
  • Concentrated Power
  • Loss of Control

What would move the tracker?

The state changes when admitted evidence moves the underlying indicators across the frozen scoring rules. The model should not move because a story is prominent in the news; it moves when the measured condition changes.

See evidence events over time →