They are not six mutually exclusive forecasts. Each describes a different feature the AI transition could take on.
AI remains important, but the pace of capability growth, deployment, or economic translation slows enough that it does not rapidly reorganize society.
Read scenario →AI becomes broadly useful while people retain meaningful judgment, authority, skill, and economic value.
Read scenario →AI adoption and substitution move faster than workers, organizations, and institutions can adapt.
Read scenario →The capability, infrastructure, profits, and authority associated with advanced AI remain controlled by a relatively small number of firms or governments.
Read scenario →AI produces large material gains that spread widely enough to raise living standards, lower important costs, or reduce necessary work.
Read scenario →AI systems acquire consequential autonomy while humans become meaningfully less able to monitor, constrain, interrupt, or redirect them.
Read scenario →